Back in last October, the Marines asked to be excused from the Anbar province of Iraq and sent instead to Afghanistan where things are…. problematic might be a diplomatic word to use. The logic was that it would simplify troop rotation to have the Army responsible for Iraq, with their 15 month tours, and the Marines in Afghanistan, with their seven month deployments.

Additionally, since Marines are all riflemen, wherever they go they bring along riflemen temporarily assigned to Super Cobra helicopters, Harrier jets, and F/A-18 Hornet fighter bombers. Being able to deploy with your own air force makes things a bit neater.

At the time Air Force pilot John Noonan wrote

Anyway, I'm a big fan of the KISS (Keep it simple, stupid!) methodology.... so at first glance I'm liking this plan. Marines in Afghanistan, Army in Iraq, and the Air Force out somewhere in middle America reminding everyone of how important they are.

Sarcastic irony in the Air Force. Who could have guessed?

There was some credible sense to the proposal, since the Army could rotate its troops out of Afghanistan and into Anbar, a province that is presently the great showpiece for the Bu$h malAdministration. They’re bribing paying tribute paying the $300 per month salaries of somewhere between 70,000 and 80,000 tribesman, designated as “concerned local citizens” to keep them quiet and keep the supply lines open from Kuwait and Aqabah.

Picture credit: Moon of Alabama

Only cynical people would claim that the Marines wanted to get out from under a situation (Iraq) that has been a complete failure, and especially to get out of Anbar before it blows up. I’m sure the Commandant and his staff felt they could contribute something significant to the fight in Afghanistan.

At the time it was decided that no, the Marines should stay just where they were. I can’t help feeling that decision wasn’t made in the Pentagon, but rather within our White House. After all, Anbar is the only bragging point they’ve got in the Global War On Terror ™ and why fix it if it ain’t broke?

Then last week we saw Secretary Gates going off (unfairly) on our NATO allies in Afghanistan, an attack he apologized for the next day.

Also last week we learned that GEN David McKiernan, presently CG, US Army, Europe, is slated to be assigned to command all NATO forces in Afghanistan. His predecessor, GEN Dan McNeill, asked for an additional 3,200 troops to be assigned to his command. There are presently about 40,000 NATO troops in Afghanistan, including 14,000 Americans. There is also a separate command of about 12,000 US troops tasked on a counter-terrorism mission.

The Army is pretty well strapped, with all of its ready forces (including the Strategic Reserve) in Iraq. The surge escalation planned and enacted last year has tied the Army’s hands by forcing it to deploy brigades ahead of schedule (and in one case delaying a brigade’s return in order cover the planned in-country deployment around Baghdad.) The five “surge” brigades are now out of the Army’s inventory for a year or more, and as I mentioned, the Army had to dig deep into its Strategic Reserve, which is a serious matter. That’s the immediate follow-on reinforcement after the one ready brigade of the 82nd Airborne division is dispatched to whatever hot spot suddenly flares up. Those units that have recently returned to their home bases are currently combat-ineffective as they replace positions emptied by retirement, death, wounds, or soldiers released from active duty.

Finding 3,200 more US troops for Afghanistan could become a problem. Fortunately, the Commandant suggested last year that Army troops in Afghanistan be supplanted by Marines.

With the Corps currently in the process of expanding from its active duty strength of 175,000 to a planned 202,000 it will become larger and more vigorous. The reserve force provides about 40,000 additional troops. It seems quite possible the Commandant will get his wish.

This will make the proposed complete failure in Iraq the fault of the Army, and not the republicans and Mr Bu$h.